StockWin | ETF & Stock Market Guides

Your next trade should not be decided by whether the last trade won. The more useful question is whether the completed sample still shows a positive result after trading costs, and whether another ordinary losing streak would keep the account inside its prewritten drawdown limit. This Trading Expectancy Calculator turns those two checks into a decision card: continue within plan, cut risk, or pause and review. It is an educational review model, not investment advice or a prediction of future performance. Quick answer: should you keep trading this setup? Continue within plan only when the recorded sample has positive net expectancy after entered costs and the planned risk survives the selected loss-streak test without crossing the drawdown ceiling. Cut risk when the edge is positive but the sample is still small, costs consume too much of the gross edge, or the planned risk would breach the drawdown ceiling. Pause and review when net expectancy is zero or negative in a usab...

A losing streak changes two numbers at the same time: the dollars available for the next trade fall, while the percentage gain needed to return to the starting balance rises. This Trading Drawdown Calculator models both effects. It resizes a long or short stock position from the current account balance after every loss, includes entered fees and adverse stop slippage, and shows the trade-by-trade path from starting equity to ending equity. It is an educational planning model, not investment advice, a price forecast, or a guarantee that a stop will fill. Quick answer: drawdown and recovery formulas Fixed-percentage ending balance: starting balance x (1 - risk per trade) number of losses . Drawdown: (starting balance - ending balance) / starting balance. Recovery gain: (starting balance / ending balance - 1) x 100. Cost-aware whole-share size: floor[(current balance x risk rate - fixed fees) / (entry-to-stop distance + adverse slippage per share)]. A 20% drawdown needs a ...